Treasury secretary seeks $455 billion from Federal Reserve in order to return to Congress …

As of 9:31 am AST 20 November 2020, U.S. Treasury rates and Federal Funds rates are as follows:

3-month: .06%

6-month: .09%

12-month: .10%

2-year: .16%

10-year: .83%

30-year: 1.55%

Fed Funds Rate: 0.08%

Federal Reserve Target: 0.25%

Prime Rate: 3.25%

Source: Bloomberg

Major political/legal event in the United States

Yesterday, the U.S. Department of the Treasury released the following:

Today U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven T. Mnuchin sent a letter to Chairman of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors Jerome Powell requesting a 90-day extension of the Commercial Paper Funding Facility (CPFF), the Primary Dealer Credit Facility (PDCF), the Money Market Liquidity Facility (MMLF) and the Paycheck Protection Program Liquidity Facility (PPPLF). 

“With respect to the facilities that used CARES Act funding (PMCCF, SMCCF, MLF, MSLP, and TALF), I was personally involved in drafting the relevant part of the legislation and believe the Congressional intent as outlined in Section 4029 was to have the authority to originate new loans or purchase new assets (either directly or indirectly) expire on December 31, 2020. As such, I am requesting that the Federal Reserve return the unused funds to the Treasury. This will allow Congress to re-appropriate $455 billion, consisting of $429 billion in excess Treasury funds for the Federal Reserve facilities and $26 billion in unused Treasury direct loan funds,” said Secretary Steven T. Mnuchin.

“In the unlikely event that it becomes necessary in the future to reestablish any of these facilities, the Federal Reserve can request approval from the Secretary of the Treasury and, upon approval, the facilities can be funded with Core ESF funds, to the extent permitted by law, or additional funds appropriated by Congress. I am deeply honored to have worked on executing these programs and hope that because of our collective actions, Congress will show similar trust in Federal Reserve Chairs and Treasury Secretaries in the future.”

Source: U.S. Department of the Treasury

Treasury note yields; clarification of tax deductions relating to Paycheck Protection Program

As of 9:57 am AST 19 November 2020, U.S. Treasury rates and Federal Funds rates are as follows:

3-month: .08%

6-month: .09%

12-month: .10%

2-year: .17%

10-year: .86%

30-year: 1.58%

Fed Funds Rate: 0.08%

Federal Reserve Target: 0.25%

Prime Rate: 3.25%

Source: Bloomberg

Major political/legal event in the United States

Yesterday, the U.S. Department of the Treasury released the following:

The U.S. Treasury Department and Internal Revenue Service (IRS) released guidance today clarifying the tax treatment of expenses where a Paycheck Protection Program (PPP) loan has not been forgiven by the end of the year the loan was received. 

Since businesses are not taxed on the proceeds of a forgiven PPP loan, the expenses are not deductible. This results in neither a tax benefit nor tax harm since the taxpayer has not paid anything out of pocket.

If a business reasonably believes that a PPP loan will be forgiven in the future, expenses related to the loan are not deductible, whether the business has filed for forgiveness or not.  Therefore, we encourage businesses to file for forgiveness as soon as possible.

In the case where a PPP loan was expected to be forgiven, and it is not, businesses will be able to deduct those expenses. 

“Today’s guidance provides taxpayers with greater clarity and flexibility,” said Secretary Steven T. Mnuchin.  “These provisions ensure that all small businesses receiving PPP loans are treated fairly, and we continue to encourage borrowers to file for loan forgiveness as quickly as possible.”

Source: U.S. Department of the Treasury

Foreign ownership of US Treasurys fall in September. Downtick in longer term rates …

As of 9:25 am AST 18 November 2020, U.S. Treasury rates and Federal Funds rates are as follows:

3-month: .08%

6-month: .08%

12-month: .11%

2-year: .17%

10-year: .85%

30-year: 1.59%

Fed Funds Rate: 0.08%

Federal Reserve Target: 0.25%

Prime Rate: 3.25%

Source: Bloomberg

Major political/legal event in the United States

Treasury releases data on foreign investment in the United States

Yesterday, the United States Department of the Treasury reported that “in September of all net foreign acquisitions of long-term securities, short-term U.S. securities, and banking flows was a net TIC outflow of $79.9 billion.  Of this, net foreign private outflows were $40.3 billion, and net foreign official outflows were $39.6 billion.”  The Treasury International Capital report also noted that there was a decline in foreign investor ownership of Treasury bills in the amount of $30.3 billion in September 2020.

Biden the portfolio manager …

Opinion

Alton Drew

Elected officials are constrained when it comes to their transparency as “portfolio managers.”  In a previous post I shared my insights into how taxpayers should treat the United States like a colony.  In the current American colony, the “mother country” is now made up of the individuals, corporations, and sovereign governments that own American debt: bonds, treasury bills, treasury notes, etc.  And when it comes to individuals, it is specifically those individuals who derive most or all of their income from the yields earned on the debt plus any equity they hold in public corporations; the “rentiers.” 

Public “portfolio managers” should be managing the American nation-state on behalf of American and foreign national rentiers.  And while America should not manage its resources for the benefit of sovereign nations that may be holding American treasury notes or American currency in their vaults, American “portfolio managers” should be mindful of the constraints on monetary and fiscal policy created by foreign ownership of dollar denominated debt and U.S. currency.

The incoming Biden administration has made no mention of this constraint.  Ironically his more poignant discussions on “Build Back Better” sound more like a rehash of the Trump administration’s “Make America Great Again” mantra with a twist of “diversity and inclusion” policy thrown in to appease voters in America’s ethnic minority class while promising to strengthen the manufacturing sector.

At the end of the day, “Build Back Better” is a strategic communications campaign aimed at the “end user” class; the group that sees government as “doer and savior”; the entity that protects and takes care of us; that looks out for the little guy.  Mr Biden aims no explicit public remarks to the “mother country” class, the class I referred to before that trades on the rents they expect from the American economy.  Being transparent as to the needs of the “mother country” class would also provide the remaining 99% of us an education as to the reason why the United States, as well as the other 180-plus portfolios around the globe exist and who these portfolios are truly managed for.    

It is unfortunate that Mr Biden cannot be transparent about the needs of the “mother country” class.  In my opinion, this class has inherited the ability to create and act on a vision that spawned the political economy Americans live in today.  That vision is one where capital is allowed to seek out an opportunity vacuum and morph into the going concern necessary for bringing that opportunity to fruition.

Included in that vision is the need for skillful portfolio managers that design and implement policy actions that create a playing field for traders to compete with each other in the Game of Capital, with the objective being he who has the most coin at the end of the day wins.  And the “mother country” class has an interest in Mr Biden managing the portfolio well.

And there is always another candidate vying for the job….       

Longer term yields tick up; Twitter’s Dorsey, Facebook’s Zuckerberg to testify before Senate.

As of 7:55 am 17 November 2020, U.S. Treasury rates and Federal Funds rates are as follows:

3-month: .08%

6-month: .08%

12-month: .11%

2-year: .18%

10-year: .88%

30-year: 1.64%

Fed Funds Rate: 0.08%

Federal Reserve Target: 0.25%

Prime Rate: 3.25%

Source: Bloomberg

Major political/legal event in the United States

President Trump nominates Joseph Barloon to the US Court of International Trade

Yesterday, President Donald Trump sent the name Joseph L. Barloon to the United States Senate as a nominee for a seat on the United States Court of International Trade.  Mr Barloon currently serves as general counsel to the United States Trade Representative and serves as the acting deputy USTR for China Affairs.

Source: Executive Office of the President

Facebook, Twitter CEOS to testify before Senate sub-committee

Today, Facebook chief executive officer Mark Zuckerberg and Twitter chief executive officer Jack Dorsey will testify before the U.S. Senate Committee on the Judiciary.  The leaders and founders of the two social media giants will be asked questions about censorship during the 2020 general election.

Source: United States Senate Committee on the Judiciary

As of 10:39 am 12 November 2020, U.S. Treasury rates and Federal Funds rates

As of 10:39 am 12 November 2020, U.S. Treasury rates and Federal Funds rates are as follows:

3-month: .09%

6-month: .010%

12-month: .12%

2-year: .17%

10-year: .92%

30-year: 1.69%

Fed Funds Rate: 0.08%

Federal Reserve Target: 0.25%

Prime Rate: 3.25%

Source: Bloomberg

Major political/legal event in the United States

Federal Reserve Vice-chair Quarles testifies before House Financial Service committee today

Randal K. Quarles, vice-chair for supervision for the Federal Reserve, will testify today before the U.S. House Committee on Financial Services.  His testimony will focus on the Federal Reserve’s supervisory activities in the context of the ongoing pandemic.

The Democratic Party will maintain control of the financial services committee in the next Congress.  There will likely be signals as to where committee chairwoman, U.S. Representative Maxine Waters, Democrat of California, would like Congress and the Biden administration to focus legislative and regulatory initiatives.

Source: Federal Reserve  

Yields increasing on longer term Treasurys

As of 9:22 am 11 November 2020, U.S. Treasury rates and Federal Funds rates are as follows:

3-month: .09%

6-month: .10%

12-month: .11%

2-year: .18%

10-year: .98%

30-year: 1.74%

Fed Funds Rate: 0.08%

Federal Reserve Target: 0.25%

Prime Rate: 3.25%

Source: Bloomberg

Major event in the United States

Treasury announces tax deduction for pass-through entities

Last Monday, the U.S. Department of the Treasury announced rule changes that clarify that State and local income taxes imposed on and paid by a pass-through entity are allowed as a deduction by the pass-through entity in computing its non-separately stated taxable income or loss for the taxable year of payment. 

Source: Treasury.gov

9 November 2020: Yields for 30-year Treasurys increase …

As of 11:31 pm 9 November 2020, U.S. Treasury rates and Federal Funds rates are as follows:

3-month: .09%

6-month: .09%

12-month: .12%

2-year: .17%

10-year: .91%

30-year: 1.69%

Fed Funds Rate: 0.08%

Federal Reserve Target: 0.25%

Prime Rate: 3.25%

Source: Bloomberg

Major political/legal event in the United States

Biden launches transition website

Presumptive president-elect Joseph R. Biden has launched a transition website that describes his initial initiatives he plans to address upon taking office in January 2021.  Mr Biden appears prepared to engage in a level of spending to address faults and inequities in the American economic infrastructure that were in place prior to the Covid pandemic.  Spending initiatives include:

  • Providing state, local, and tribal governments with financial assistance;
  • Extending Covid crisis unemployment insurance to people out of work;
  • Provide a financial package for small businesses and entrepreneurs;
  • Creation of a public health corps that puts the unemployed to work fighting the pandemic.

No discussion has been provided by the transition team yet on the costs of these packages and the impact they may have on money supply expansion/contraction, trade, or foreign exchange rates.

Source: BuildBackBetter.com

Treasury announces tax deduction for pass-through entities

Today, the U.S. Department of the Treasury announced rule changes that clarify that State and local income taxes imposed on and paid by a pass-through entity are allowed as a deduction by the pass-through entity in computing its non-separately stated taxable income or loss for the taxable year of payment. 

Source: Treasury.gov

Bond rates, Fed Funds rates … and ballot counting close to its climax

As of 10:57 am 5 November 2020, U.S. Treasury rates and Federal Funds rates are as follows:

3-month: .09%

6-month: .09%

12-month: .12%

2-year: .15%

10-year: .77%

30-year: 1.54%

Fed Funds Rate: 0.08%

Federal Reserve Target: 0.25%

Prime Rate: 3.25%

Source: Bloomberg

Major event in the United States:  Ballot counting is continuing in the U.S. presidential elections. Democratic presidential candidate Joseph R. Biden reportedly has 264 unofficial Electoral College votes while Republican candidate Donald J. Trump has 214 unofficial Electoral College votes.

The official declaration of President-Elect is scheduled for 14 December 2020.

Today, the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System concludes their Federal Open Market Committee meeting.  The Board will report its fed funds rate decision at 2:00 pm EST.

Source: Bloomberg, Federal Reserve

Bond yields as Joe Biden inches closer to winning more Electoral College votes.

As of 3:14 pm 4 November 2020, U.S. Treasury rates and Federal Funds rates are as follows:

3-month: .09%

6-month: .10%

12-month: .12%

2-year: .14%

10-year: .76%

30-year: 1.54%

Fed Funds Rate: 0.08%

Federal Reserve Target: 0.25%

Prime Rate: 3.25%

Source: Bloomberg

Major event in the United States:  Ballot counting is continuing in the U.S. presidential elections. Democratic presidential candidate Joseph R. Biden is projected to win 227 Electoral College votes while Republican candidate Donald J. Trump is projected to garner 214 Electoral College votes.

In addition, the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System conclude their Federal Open Market Committee meeting tomorrow.

Source: Reuters